What is Bitcoin Price Prediction as Analysts Point Signals & U.S.–China Trade Progresses?

As analysts draw attention to the recent Gaussian channel flip, Bitcoin Price Prediction has risen past $111K.

The bitcoin price has risen above $111K, as analysts note the recent Gaussian channel flip, which is a rare green signal seen only during historic rallies. The indicator's change, which occurred in 2017 and 2021, foreshadowed large surges and long-term peaks. Meanwhile, smart money continues to accumulate, with numerous whales increasing exposure as macroeconomic expectations improve.

Bitcoin Price Action and Market Rebound Trends

Bitcoin price recently duplicated its 2017 and 2021 patterns, with the Gaussian channel becoming green, indicating strong bullish strength. According to Merlijn The Trader, this indicator has historically triggered large parabolic phases, which are followed by retests before the apex of the cycle.

He underlined that similar flips in 2017 and 2021 signaled explosive rallies, indicating optimal accumulation zones. Meanwhile, the indicator's green trend suggests a turn toward long-term growth, instilling fresh confidence in institutional investors.

As a result, the long-term Bitcoin price projection remains bullish, reflecting both historical context and technical strength.

Merlijn also stated that the Bitcoin price has retested its bull market baseline, the 50-week Simple Moving Average, which has reliably marked every bullish continuation zone since 2023. He noted how this line has served as the defining “golden support,” backing all key liftoffs in the current cycle.

Notably, each retest of this level has resulted in institutional inflows, which frequently precede multi-month expansions as liquidity returns to the spot market. According to the analyst, this trend suggests that smart money accumulates during quiet technical retests, whereas casual investors only respond when breakouts occur.

This recent retest so confirms the ongoing accumulating period, emphasizing the maturity and fundamental strength of Bitcoin's uptrend.

U.S.-China talks and Fed Bets Boost Market Confidence

Progress in US-China trade discussions has reduced global concern after months of tariff hostility. President Trump's softer approach toward China, combined with assurances that “it will all be fine,” has improved market confidence ahead of his impending meeting with President Xi Jinping.

Meanwhile, a well-known insider whale reportedly initiated $255 million in long Bitcoin and Ethereum positions prior to the summit, indicating confidence in improved ties.

This shift is consistent with expectations that lowering trade tensions will increase risk-taking in financial markets. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's 95% priced-in rate cut in late October has raised global liquidity expectations.

Historically, such dovish monetary regimes have pushed capital into crypto assets, and the BTC price appears to be responding accordingly. As a result, both geopolitical and monetary considerations continue to support Bitcoin's bullish outlook into 2025.